US midterms election 2026 live: Democratic Senate odds climb above 90%

US midterms election 2026 live: Democratic Senate odds climb above 90%

US Midterm Elections 2026: Live Updates

Follow our live coverage of the 2026 US midterm elections, including key races, crypto-backed candidates, and potential implications for digital asset regulation.

Key Races and Results:

  • US House of Representatives: All 435 seats are up for grabs.
  • US Senate: 35 seats are contested. Democrats currently lead with 41 secured seats compared to Republicans' 31 (including uncontested seats).

What's at Stake for Crypto:

  • The midterm results could significantly impact US cryptocurrency regulation, including the stalled CLARITY Act.
  • Democrat control of either chamber could intensify scrutiny of President Trump's crypto ventures.

Important Dates and Numbers:

  • Nov. 3, 8:05 pm ET: Democratic Senate control odds reach 94% on Kalshi and 93% on Polymarket.
  • Nov. 3, 7 pm ET: Polls close in Indiana, Kentucky, Georgia, Virginia, and Ohio.
  • Nov. 3, 11:37 am ET: Over 57 million Americans have voted, surpassing 2022 levels in some states.

Notable Races:

  • Ohio Senate: Jon Husted (Republican) vs Sherrod Brown (Democrat). A race with substantial crypto industry spending from groups like Fairshake and the Digital Freedom Fund.

Crypto Industry Reacting:

  • The Blockchain Association's election dashboard identifies 62 priority congressional races.
  • Cointelegraph is tracking live election updates, including results from crypto-focused races and market reactions.

Recent Results:

  • Nov. 3, 7:30 pm ET: Democrat Jon Ossoff retains his Georgia Senate seat, defeating Republican Mike Collins.
  • Nov. 3, 7 pm ET: Democrat Mark Warner wins re-election in Virginia, defeating Bert Mizusawa.

Early Voting Trends:

More than 57 million Americans had voted by Monday, surpassing 2022 levels in several states.

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