US midterms election 2026 live: Democratic Senate odds climb above 99%

US midterms election 2026 live: Democratic Senate odds climb above 99%

US Midterm Elections 2026: Live Updates

Follow live coverage of the 2026 US midterm elections, including key races, crypto-backed candidates, and potential implications for digital asset regulation.

Within hours, we'll know if President Donald Trump's Republican Party maintains control of Congress, shaping his legislative agenda for the final two years.

What the Crypto Industry Needs to Know

  • Up for Grabs: All 435 House of Representatives seats and 35 Senate seats.
  • Regulatory Impact: Results may influence US cryptocurrency regulation, including the CLARITY Act, and intensify scrutiny of Trump's crypto ventures under Democratic control.
  • Current Standings: Democrats have secured 43 Senate seats (including allied independents) to Republicans' 31, and 41 House seats to Republicans' 18.
  • Majority Requirements: Democrats need 51 Senate seats and 218 House seats for control in both chambers.
  • Priority Races: The Blockchain Association's dashboard highlights 62 priority races, including 18 Senate and 44 House contests.

Live Election Updates

  • Nov. 3, 20:08 ET: Democratic Senate odds surge above 90% on prediction markets. Kalshi shows 94%, and Polymarket 93%, up from 75% earlier. Democratic House control odds at 98-99%.

  • Nov. 3, 20:01 ET:

    • Massachusetts' Ed Markey and Delaware's Chris Coons (both D) win reelection.
    • Markey previously opposed the GENIUS stablecoin bill, while Coons criticized Trump's crypto ventures.
  • Nov. 3, 19:57 ET: Georgia's Jon Ossoff (D) retains his seat, defeating Mike Collins (R). Ossoff had supported impeaching Trump over his memecoin event.

  • Nov. 3, 19:41 ET: Maylea Ma, 1inch's deputy general counsel, predicts federal agencies will drive US crypto regulation, with potential changes to the stalled CLARITY Act.

  • Nov. 3, 19:09 ET: CLARITY opponent Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) wins Florida's 20th District.

  • Nov. 3, 19:05 ET: Mark Warner (D) retains his Virginia Senate seat.

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